Regardless of the nuance of polls, I'm confident that the 2010 sentiment still exists, and polls are using 2008 data that tilts favorably towards Obama. I would say that were this 2008, Obama would win and in fact did win. 2010, not so much. 2012 remains to be seen.
If Romney gets in, it shows we have a majority of people that still believe in the American dream, where ones effort is rewarded. However, looking at how close this race is, and the trend of the past decades, more and more people don't believe one is entitled to the fruits of their labor. Inevitibly, these people will outnumber us, and is why the country is becoming a top heavy, poorer nation.
I was going to vote for Gary Johnson, but changed my mind when Obama let slip at the end of one of the debates "...where everyone gets their fair share", which he quickly corrected. I then changed my vote to "against Obama".
It's obvious what Obama wants for the country. The fact that he's getting nearly half the vote is testament to the current mindset of the voter - eroded away over decades to believe government can do for them more than they can do for themselves. I find this odd, since the person with the most vested interest in your success is yourself, not government. I've seen government grow vastly since my parent's day, have my riches increased proportionally with the growth in government? Why didn't my parents need the larger government of today to be successful?
America will eventually collapse like Europe (via debt), the voter has been poisoned and there is no way out. Obama's election will certainly speed this along. Romney would delay it by a token amount of time, perhaps a few months, maybe even a few years.
It comes down to this. Someone raises your taxes? He's voted out. Someone cuts your benefits? He's voted out. Hence, the national debt and inflation is YOUR problem, not the government's.